Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 234.714521 264.752341 298.234032 338.519294 385.936710 440.296085 507.789626
2024-10-06 189.336565 228.365086 275.793719 338.453648 420.243643 525.070882 672.409069
2024-10-13 160.898204 202.170498 255.087620 329.314189 433.075236 576.665967 797.299596
2024-10-20 143.615237 186.461634 243.832467 328.396680 453.686285 639.075131 947.813099
2024-10-27 125.798373 167.348526 224.820966 312.798773 449.177684 662.026839 1040.692362
2024-11-03 119.818890 163.624210 226.392415 326.571407 489.968148 761.107826 1282.681264
2024-11-10 115.510119 161.607624 229.869801 343.213148 537.396174 879.770649 1593.070423
2024-11-17 107.887567 153.802392 223.562329 343.076637 556.098325 950.898324 1830.909667
2024-11-24 99.365174 143.801940 212.729554 333.874692 556.993112 988.249801 2007.269789
2024-12-01 92.100883 135.126653 203.141343 325.535237 557.958347 1025.473695 2194.531778
2024-12-08 89.000622 132.762638 203.555295 334.701593 593.434678 1140.881798 2614.547179
2024-12-15 84.725413 128.124845 199.685133 335.515757 612.311454 1224.144461 2982.526839
2024-12-22 79.610091 121.865553 192.742117 330.264272 618.933796 1283.472371 3316.248078
2024-12-29 75.822840 117.575269 188.894088 330.576419 637.700282 1377.142915 3804.594741
2025-01-05 71.044033 111.242132 180.858689 321.672237 634.586618 1414.913324 4126.151777
2025-01-12 67.835944 107.403958 177.018796 320.784339 649.637768 1504.501969 4686.119603
2025-01-19 62.986583 100.380973 166.788751 305.639063 628.821603 1490.463062 4837.432753
2025-01-26 62.209890 100.530749 169.951633 319.012132 679.306657 1694.956040 6041.299600
2025-02-02 61.757994 101.218357 174.169899 335.165188 739.988324 1951.266655 7724.495894
2025-02-09 59.452056 98.347906 171.227576 335.032712 758.060796 2076.845792 8864.708896
2025-02-16 56.359970 93.837603 164.721460 326.101732 750.826846 2114.527781 9542.760584
2025-02-23 53.572670 89.754662 158.811050 318.006177 744.807251 2155.738188 10294.410254
2025-03-02 52.685848 89.220087 160.047458 326.904362 789.002368 2398.055404 12709.384555